Yesterday I mentioned that I had SGLP and FRZ on my short watchlist. I played both of them...got a profit on one and am currently holding the other one even.
First came SGLP. SGLP bounced off $3 resistance and started to fade, despite a surging Dow. I got a 10/60 cross to the downside on the 1 minute chart, so I jumped in and shorted 1000 shares at $2.85.
SGLP broke down nicely, falling below $2.50. Then came the last hour of trading. The Dow started to show a lot of strength. Since SGLP's day chart tends to show big tails on the red candles, I knew SGLP usually doesn't close near it's LOD.

Also, based on Johnny Vento's gap stat calculator, SGLP can gap up 50% of the time when it's 10% down. Since this stock tends to have a big bid/ask spread, I didn't want a repeat of what happened with RMTI. I tried to cover my position at $2.46, but only got filled for 100 shares. I tried again at $2.50, and only got filled for 100 shares. Suddenly the ask was at $2.70 and the bid was at $2.54 and I still wasn't filled! The Dow started to show some weakness again, so I decided I'd keep holding. The bid/ask tightened up, but then the Dow started showing strength again. While SGLP doesn't follow the Dow as closely as other stocks, I decided not to take a chance, especially in this really weird market. I covered the remaining 800 shares at $2.56. Overall, it was a $295 profit and an 11.6% return on my position.
Yes, this could have further downside, and this is only the first down day, but, like I said, I didn't want a repeat of my RMTI experience. These illiquid stocks can jump pretty big on any large order at the ask.
Here's the Dow chart:
Here's the 1-min chart for SGLP and my notes.
Here's the 5-min chart for SGLP and my notes.
Then there was FRZ. FRZ had come off of its highs and was trading sideways. It had support at $1.88. I decided I'd go short if it broke this support level. Sure enough, it did, so I shorted 1000 shares at $1.85.
FRZ started to break down nicely. It nearly went red on the day. However, FRZ was certainly a stubborn stock. It bounced and went right back into the $1.70's - $1.80's. It eventually closed at my entry of $1.85.
We'll see what happens with FRZ tomorrow. Volume was weak in the last hour despite a surging Dow, so it could be a sign that buying is finally drying up. This stock has been pretty unbelievable...only days ago it was at 35 cents! It just won't die....at least not yet.
GUTTER STATS:
Yesterday: $9803.37
Today: $10093.37
Gain since yesterday: $290 or 2.96%
POSITIONS TRADED FOR A GAIN:
SLGP $295
TOMORROW'S WATCHLIST:
Short: FRZ
Long Breakout: DISK, HOTT, FRPT, UTI, COGT


13 comments:
When I see a post like that, I just can't wait for Thursday to come, love the trades, love the detailed charts, you're one of my top bookmarks James!
Do you look for 10/60 cross on the 1min or 5min chart? Or both?
Thanks for the comment, Allen! I'm glad you like my blog!
Anon,
I look for it on both charts. However, the 5 min chart tends to lag too much so I usually don't wait for the cross on the 5 min chart. Instead, I'm looking for it moving in that direction.
Steve,
Great to know that you are back on track again! Good luck with your overnight hold.
RJ
Did you wait for it to "go red"? Or was it already red when it opened?
Thanks, RJ!
SGLP was just barely green when I went short...it went red soon after I shorted it
If SGLP went against you, at what level will you take your loss? Do you predefine a stop loss level before you enter a trade?
What about for FRZ?
I'm still reading your nutrition blog haha
Anon,
Usually about a 4% or a $100 - $120 stop loss or so. For smaller positions, the % might be a bit higher but I still don't want to lose more than $120 or so.
Haha Johnny! Hope you like it.
By the way, I've tweaked the gap stat calculator so that you can screen for multiple stocks and sort by the % it gaps up or down. I'll post about it soon.
Great start Yng...get that mojo back!
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